{
  "evidence_type": "synthetic/theoretical",
  "policy": "FIFO",
  "wip_limit": 24,
  "staff_by_condition": {
    "reference": 3,
    "five_minute_batches": 3,
    "two_hour_absence": 4,
    "service_plus_40pct": 4,
    "combined_stress": 5
  },
  "selection_seeds": [
    8100,
    8139
  ],
  "independent_validation_seeds": [
    16100,
    16199
  ],
  "total_holdout_runs": 500,
  "service_screen": "<=1% refusal; <=30 min clearance; no uncleared work at 10 h; detailed-job p95 waiting <=15 min",
  "acceptance": "For each specified condition, exact two-sided 95% upper bound on shift screen-miss probability <=10%",
  "risk_results": [
    {
      "condition": "reference",
      "staff": 3,
      "misses": 0,
      "shifts": 100,
      "lower": 0.0,
      "upper": 0.03621669264517641,
      "meets_10pct_upper_bound": true
    },
    {
      "condition": "five_minute_batches",
      "staff": 3,
      "misses": 0,
      "shifts": 100,
      "lower": 0.0,
      "upper": 0.03621669264517641,
      "meets_10pct_upper_bound": true
    },
    {
      "condition": "two_hour_absence",
      "staff": 4,
      "misses": 0,
      "shifts": 100,
      "lower": 0.0,
      "upper": 0.03621669264517641,
      "meets_10pct_upper_bound": true
    },
    {
      "condition": "service_plus_40pct",
      "staff": 4,
      "misses": 0,
      "shifts": 100,
      "lower": 0.0,
      "upper": 0.03621669264517641,
      "meets_10pct_upper_bound": true
    },
    {
      "condition": "combined_stress",
      "staff": 5,
      "misses": 0,
      "shifts": 100,
      "lower": 0.0,
      "upper": 0.03621669264517641,
      "meets_10pct_upper_bound": true
    }
  ],
  "condition_observation": "Apply the declared staffing plan before the shift when the corresponding absence or slower-service condition is known. Unexpected conditions are outside the selected envelope.",
  "optimal_staffing_claim": false,
  "physical_validation": false
}